Rate hikes by year-endRBNZ:57 bps (71% probability ofrate hikeat the next meeting)Fed:42 bps (64% probability of no change at the next meeting)ECB:41 bps (70% p...

Headlines:Middle East tensions remain heightened with the weekend drawing closerOil prices come off the boil in final stretch of the weekOil Analysis Today: Tac...

Prior 48.8Manufacturing PMI 52.8 vs 52.0 expectedPrior 52.5Composite PMI 52.1 vs 49.7 expectedPrior 49.3Key Findings:UK private sector business activity returns...

July flash services PMI 51.6 vs 49.8 expectedPrior 49.4July flash manufacturing PMI 52.0 vs 51.5 expectedPrior 51.4July flash composite PMI 51.9 vs 50.3 expecte...

Prior 50.3Services PMI 49.6 vs 49.0 expectedPrior 48.6Composite PMI 51.2 vs 49.8 expectedPrior 49.5Key findings:German PMI climbs back into growth territory in ...

July flash services PMI 49.8 vs 47.5 expectedPrior 46.8July flash manufacturing PMI 50.0 vs 51.0 expectedPrior 51.2July flash composite PMI 49.6 vs 47.8 expecte...

EUROPEAN SESSIONIn the European session, we get the Flash PMIs for the major Eurozone economies and the UK. The data is unlikely to change anything for the resp...

August consumer sentiment -29.6 vs -28.5 expectedPrior -29.2; revised to -29.3The German consumer climate remains gloomy heading into August as households remai...

June retail sales +1.0% vs -0.3% m/m expectedPrior +1.2%June retail sales +4.2% vs +2.3% y/y expectedPrior +3.2%; revised to +3.5%June retail sales (ex fuel, au...

The latest development is that Iran has rejected a ceasefire proposal from Iraq, believed to be passed on from US president Trump. The main excuse that Iran is ...

ICYMI - Iran rejects Trump ceasefire offer carried by Iraqi PM, NYT reportsGold extends slide below $4,040 support to test $4,025 as yields biteAsian shares slu...

Just the data this post, I'll have more to come on this separately. ... Added, this now:Japan core CPI rises 1.6% in June, matching forecast, USD/JPY little cha...