US July non-farm payrolls -23K vs +80K expected

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  • Prior was +57K
  • Two-month net revision -103K
  • May was +129K
  • Unemployment rate 4.1% vs 4.2% expected
  • Prior unemployment rate 4.2%
  • Unrounded unemployment vs 4.1889% prior
  • Participation rate 61.4% vs 61.5% prior
  • U6 underemployment rate % vs 7.9% prior
  • Average hourly earnings +0.1% m/m vs +0.3% expected
  • Average hourly earnings +3.2% y/y vs +3.5% expected
  • Average weekly hours 34.3 vs 34.3 expected
  • Change in private payrolls +30K vs +78K expected
  • Change in manufacturing payrolls +30K vs +4K expected
  • Government payrolls -53K vs +8K prior

Ahead of the data, USD/JPY was trading at 158.33 and Fed funds futures were pricing in a 57% chance of a rate hike in September.

At first blush, the jobs report isn’t as bad as the headline. Huge losses in government jobs and the unemployment rate 4.1% vs 4.2% expected. On the downside,
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

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