• Strong growth and investment is influencing bond market
  • Fed credibility is not in question
  • Fed is focused on making monetary policy independent of fiscal policy
  • Monetary policy is neutral or accomodative right now
  • Financial conditions are pretty accomodative here
  • Number one concern of public is inflation
  • Businesses are facing high input costs
  • Super El Nino might be next supply shock
  • Given current Fed rates, see lower probability of getting inflation to 2%
  • Hiking rates now could save more aggressive action later
  • Underlying inflation is between 2.5-3.0%, and it's too high and must be lowered
  • Productivity is seeing a recovery
  • The best thing the Fed can do for growth is get inflation back to 2%
  • Forward guidance is useful when rates are at zero
  • Forward guidance suggests committment, communicating a framework is different
  • When you have supply shocks, you have to look at core inflation
  • Won't prejudge upcoming FOMC meeting
This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

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